2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 11:00 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ UConn

Predicted scoreToss-up

Florida Atlantic

25.9

UConn

26.2

UConn win probability: 51%

Margin (UConn − Florida Atlantic): 0.4 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 14 – UConn 48 (margin error 33.6, total error 9.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.