2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:30 PM · Chapman Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida Atlantic
29.9
Tulsa
26.9
Tulsa win probability: 43%
Margin (Tulsa − Florida Atlantic): -3.0 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 33 to 83)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 63 – Tulsa 16 (margin error 44.0, total error 22.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.