2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 11:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ South Florida

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida Atlantic

18.8

South Florida

34.1

South Florida win probability: 83%

Margin (South Florida − Florida Atlantic): 15.2 (80% range -5 to 35)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 13 – South Florida 48 (margin error 19.8, total error 8.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.