2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 11:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida Atlantic
18.8
South Florida
34.1
South Florida win probability: 83%
Margin (South Florida − Florida Atlantic): 15.2 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Florida Atlantic 13 – South Florida 48 (margin error 19.8, total error 8.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.