2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Florida Atlantic @ Navy

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida Atlantic

19.5

Navy

33.3

Navy win probability: 81%

Margin (Navy − Florida Atlantic): 13.7 (80% range -7 to 34)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Florida Atlantic 32 – Navy 42 (margin error 3.7, total error 21.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.