2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 8:00 PM · FAU Stadium
UConn @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreToss-up
UConn
29.3
Florida Atlantic
28.0
Florida Atlantic win probability: 47%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − UConn): -1.3 (80% range -22 to 20)
Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: UConn 48 – Florida Atlantic 45 (margin error 1.7, total error 35.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.