2026 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026, 5:00 AM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina
Predicted scoreLikely
Florida Atlantic
21.8
East Carolina
33.0
East Carolina win probability: 76%
Margin (East Carolina − Florida Atlantic): 11.3 (80% range -10 to 32)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:01 PM | 11.3 | 54.9 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:00 PM | 11.3 | 54.9 | 76% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:03 PM | 11.3 | 54.8 | 76% |