2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · FAU Stadium
Rice @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
23.0
Florida Atlantic
32.2
Florida Atlantic win probability: 72%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − Rice): 9.2 (80% range -11 to 29)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:45 PM | 7.3 | 52.5 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:55 PM | 7.3 | 52.4 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:36 PM | 7.3 | 52.4 | 68% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:06 AM | 7.3 | 52.4 | 68% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:12 PM | 7.3 | 52.4 | 68% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:13 PM | 7.1 | 52.8 | 67% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:50 PM | 5.3 | 56.1 | 63% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:47 PM | 10.2 | 53.8 | 74% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:23 PM | 10.2 | 53.8 | 74% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:44 AM | 10.4 | 53.7 | 74% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:54 PM | 10.4 | 53.7 | 74% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:02 PM | 13.0 | 57.0 | 79% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:54 PM | 11.0 | 55.1 | 75% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:19 PM | 9.4 | 54.9 | 72% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:16 PM | 9.2 | 55.2 | 72% |