2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Chapman Stadium
Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa
Predicted scoreToss-up
Florida Atlantic
29.3
Tulsa
26.9
Tulsa win probability: 44%
Margin (Tulsa − Florida Atlantic): -2.4 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 81)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:37 PM | -2.4 | 56.3 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:30 PM | -2.4 | 56.3 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:48 PM | -2.4 | 56.2 | 44% |