2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · FAU Stadium
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLikely
South Florida
34.2
Florida Atlantic
22.8
Florida Atlantic win probability: 24%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − South Florida): -11.3 (80% range -32 to 10)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:44 PM | -11.4 | 57.0 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:50 PM | -11.3 | 57.0 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:28 PM | -11.3 | 57.0 | 24% |