2026 Week 10 · Nov 6, 2026, 1:00 AM · FAU Stadium
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLean
UTSA
29.4
Florida Atlantic
24.4
Florida Atlantic win probability: 38%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − UTSA): -4.9 (80% range -25 to 15)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:13 PM | -5.0 | 53.8 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:12 PM | -4.9 | 53.8 | 38% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:45 PM | -4.9 | 53.8 | 38% |