2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 10:00 PM · FAU Stadium
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic
Predicted scoreLean
Florida International
23.7
Florida Atlantic
27.8
Florida Atlantic win probability: 60%
Margin (Florida Atlantic − Florida International): 4.1 (80% range -16 to 24)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:33 PM | 4.1 | 51.6 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:42 PM | 4.0 | 51.5 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:16 PM | 4.1 | 51.6 | 60% |