Predicted scoreToss-up
Charlotte
26.4
Tulsa
28.6
Tulsa win probability: 55%
Margin (Tulsa − Charlotte): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Charlotte 33 – Tulsa 26 (margin error 9.2, total error 4.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.