2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 8:00 PM · Chapman Stadium
North Texas @ Tulsa
Predicted scoreToss-up
North Texas
32.7
Tulsa
31.3
Tulsa win probability: 47%
Margin (Tulsa − North Texas): -1.4 (80% range -23 to 20)
Total: 64.0 (80% range 38 to 91)
Actual: North Texas 35 – Tulsa 28 (margin error 5.6, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.53% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.53% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.52% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.52% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.