Predicted scoreLean
Temple
24.2
Tulsa
31.8
Tulsa win probability: 68%
Margin (Tulsa − Temple): 7.5 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 81)
Actual: Temple 26 – Tulsa 48 (margin error 14.5, total error 18.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:00 PM | 7.5 | 56.0 | 68% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:35 PM | 7.5 | 56.0 | 68% |