2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 7:00 PM · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Tulsa @ East Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

Tulsa

24.5

East Carolina

29.7

East Carolina win probability: 62%

Margin (East Carolina − Tulsa): 5.1 (80% range -15 to 25)

Total: 54.2 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Tulsa 29 – East Carolina 27 (margin error 7.1, total error 1.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.