Predicted scoreLean
Rice
22.6
Tulsa
29.9
Tulsa win probability: 68%
Margin (Tulsa − Rice): 7.4 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Rice 42 – Tulsa 10 (margin error 39.4, total error 0.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.