Predicted scoreLikely
Tulsa
21.1
Tulane
35.1
Tulane win probability: 81%
Margin (Tulane − Tulsa): 14.0 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Tulsa 22 – Tulane 24 (margin error 12.0, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.