Tulsa
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Arkansas State | 28–24 | 32.3–27.5 | 0.8 |
| Week 3 | vs Oklahoma State | 45–10 | 38.4–19.6 | 16.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Louisiana Tech | 20–23 | 27.4–29.2 | 1.2 |
| Week 5 | @ North Texas | 52–20 | 36.5–25.9 | 21.4 |
| Week 6 | vs Army | 49–7 | 30.7–17.6 | 28.9 |
| Week 8 | @ Temple | 20–10 | 29.1–23.4 | 4.2 |
| Week 9 | vs UTSA | 45–46 | 31.1–19.3 | 12.8 |
| Week 10 | @ UAB | 59–21 | 31.4–24.7 | 31.3 |
| Week 12 | vs East Carolina | 38–31 | 34.7–24.9 | 2.8 |
| Week 13 | @ South Florida | 63–30 | 35.8–20.2 | 17.4 |
| Week 14 | vs Florida Atlantic | 63–16 | 29.9–26.9 | 44.0 |