2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium

Tulsa @ South Florida

Predicted scoreLikely

Tulsa

20.2

South Florida

35.8

South Florida win probability: 83%

Margin (South Florida − Tulsa): 15.6 (80% range -5 to 37)

Total: 56.0 (80% range 32 to 81)

Actual: Tulsa 30 – South Florida 63 (margin error 17.4, total error 37.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.