2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 11:00 PM · DATCU Stadium
Tulsa @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLikely
Tulsa
25.9
North Texas
36.5
North Texas win probability: 73%
Margin (North Texas − Tulsa): 10.6 (80% range -11 to 32)
Total: 62.4 (80% range 38 to 89)
Actual: Tulsa 20 – North Texas 52 (margin error 21.4, total error 9.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.54% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.