Predicted scoreLikely
Army
30.7
Tulsa
17.6
Tulsa win probability: 20%
Margin (Tulsa − Army): -13.1 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Army 49 – Tulsa 7 (margin error 28.9, total error 7.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.84% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.