2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 11:00 PM · Joe Aillet Stadium
Tulsa @ Louisiana Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
Tulsa
29.2
Louisiana Tech
27.4
Louisiana Tech win probability: 46%
Margin (Louisiana Tech − Tulsa): -1.8 (80% range -23 to 19)
Total: 56.6 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Tulsa 23 – Louisiana Tech 20 (margin error 1.2, total error 13.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.