2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 4:00 PM · Chapman Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Tulsa
Predicted scoreConfident
Oklahoma State
38.4
Tulsa
19.6
Tulsa win probability: 12%
Margin (Tulsa − Oklahoma State): -18.8 (80% range -40 to 3)
Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Oklahoma State 45 – Tulsa 10 (margin error 16.2, total error 3.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.