Predicted scoreLean
Tulsa
24.7
UAB
31.4
UAB win probability: 66%
Margin (UAB − Tulsa): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 31 to 82)
Actual: Tulsa 21 – UAB 59 (margin error 31.3, total error 23.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.