Predicted scoreLikely
Tulsa
23.6
SMU
34.2
SMU win probability: 74%
Margin (SMU − Tulsa): 10.5 (80% range -11 to 32)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Tulsa 10 – SMU 69 (margin error 48.5, total error 21.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.