SMU

ACC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs California	20.1–36.2	84%
Week 9	@ Syracuse	24.7–31.7	66%
Week 10	vs Virginia Tech	24.6–34.0	71%
Week 11	vs Wake Forest	29.6–29.3	49%
Week 12	@ Notre Dame	35.6–20.1	17%
Week 13	@ Stanford	19.5–34.0	82%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Florida State	24–27	26.8–27.3	2.5
Week 2	vs UC Davis	10–56	—	—
Week 3	@ Louisville	41–31	29.1–26.0	6.9
Week 4	vs Missouri State	24–34	13.4–38.1	14.7
Week 5	vs Boston College	16–25	18.2–34.6	7.4
Week 7	vs Virginia	13–23	22.4–31.6	0.8