SMU
ACC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Baylor | 48–45 | 28.1–32.2 | 7.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Missouri State | 10–28 | 17.8–38.2 | 2.4 |
| Week 4 | @ TCU | 35–24 | 33.2–25.1 | 2.9 |
| Week 6 | vs Syracuse | 18–31 | 23.3–35.1 | 1.1 |
| Week 7 | vs Stanford | 10–34 | 18.1–34.5 | 7.6 |
| Week 8 | @ Clemson | 24–35 | 27.7–26.7 | 12.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Wake Forest | 13–12 | 25.3–29.3 | 5.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Miami | 20–26 | 30.8–24.5 | 12.4 |
| Week 11 | @ Boston College | 13–45 | 22.0–33.2 | 20.8 |
| Week 13 | vs Louisville | 6–38 | 23.4–29.5 | 25.9 |
| Week 14 | @ California | 38–35 | 21.0–31.8 | 13.8 |
| Week 1 | vs Arizona | 19–24 | 21.8–33.4 | 6.5 |