SMU
ACC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Louisiana Tech | 14–38 | 19.1–39.9 | 3.3 |
| Week 2 | @ Oklahoma | 28–11 | 36.7–21.9 | 2.1 |
| Week 4 | @ TCU | 34–17 | 39.0–22.2 | 0.2 |
| Week 5 | vs Charlotte | 16–34 | 24.9–34.2 | 8.7 |
| Week 7 | @ East Carolina | 10–31 | 30.9–30.2 | 21.7 |
| Week 8 | @ Temple | 0–55 | 21.8–37.5 | 39.3 |
| Week 9 | vs Tulsa | 10–69 | 23.6–34.2 | 48.5 |
| Week 10 | @ Rice | 31–36 | 23.8–30.8 | 2.0 |
| Week 11 | vs North Texas | 21–45 | 25.2–36.2 | 13.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Memphis | 34–38 | 28.7–29.4 | 3.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Navy | 14–59 | 16.8–29.6 | 32.3 |
| Week 14 | @ Tulane | 14–26 | 26.4–28.6 | 9.9 |
| Week 1 | @ Boston College | 23–14 | 25.8–35.8 | 19.0 |