Predicted scoreLikely
SMU
22.2
TCU
39.0
TCU win probability: 84%
Margin (TCU − SMU): 16.8 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 61.2 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: SMU 17 – TCU 34 (margin error 0.2, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.57% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.