Predicted scoreLean
SMU
30.8
Rice
23.8
Rice win probability: 33%
Margin (Rice − SMU): -7.0 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: SMU 36 – Rice 31 (margin error 2.0, total error 12.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.