2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 4:00 PM · Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Louisiana Tech @ SMU

Predicted scoreConfident

Louisiana Tech

19.1

SMU

39.9

SMU win probability: 90%

Margin (SMU − Louisiana Tech): 20.7 (80% range 0 to 42)

Total: 59.0 (80% range 35 to 84)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 14 – SMU 38 (margin error 3.3, total error 7.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.