2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 10:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

SMU @ Oklahoma

Predicted scoreLikely

SMU

21.9

Oklahoma

36.7

Oklahoma win probability: 81%

Margin (Oklahoma − SMU): 14.9 (80% range -7 to 36)

Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: SMU 11 – Oklahoma 28 (margin error 2.1, total error 19.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.