Predicted scoreLikely
SMU
21.9
Oklahoma
36.7
Oklahoma win probability: 81%
Margin (Oklahoma − SMU): 14.9 (80% range -7 to 36)
Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: SMU 11 – Oklahoma 28 (margin error 2.1, total error 19.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.58% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.