Predicted scoreToss-up
SMU
28.6
Tulane
26.4
Tulane win probability: 45%
Margin (Tulane − SMU): -2.1 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: SMU 26 – Tulane 14 (margin error 9.9, total error 15.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.