SMU
ACC
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Nevada | 24–29 | 20.3–33.8 | 8.6 |
| Week 2 | vs BYU | 18–15 | 24.8–25.5 | 3.7 |
| Week 4 | vs TCU | 42–66 | 32.0–23.9 | 32.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Florida State | 16–42 | 25.5–24.6 | 26.9 |
| Week 6 | @ Louisville | 27–34 | 28.9–25.9 | 10.1 |
| Week 8 | @ Stanford | 10–40 | 17.6–33.5 | 14.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Duke | 27–28 | 23.7–28.0 | 3.4 |
| Week 10 | vs Pittsburgh | 25–48 | 20.0–29.9 | 13.1 |
| Week 12 | vs Boston College | 28–38 | 20.0–33.3 | 3.3 |
| Week 13 | @ Virginia | 7–33 | 22.1–31.7 | 16.4 |
| Week 14 | vs California | 6–38 | 20.5–32.7 | 19.8 |
| Week 15 | vs Clemson | 34–31 | 26.2–29.0 | 5.8 |
| Week 1 | @ Penn State | 38–10 | 35.8–20.8 | 13.0 |