Predicted scoreLikely
SMU
33.5
Stanford
17.6
Stanford win probability: 15%
Margin (Stanford − SMU): -15.9 (80% range -35 to 4)
Total: 51.1 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: SMU 40 – Stanford 10 (margin error 14.1, total error 1.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.85% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.