Predicted scoreToss-up
Clemson
26.2
SMU
29.0
SMU win probability: 57%
Margin (SMU − Clemson): 2.8 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Clemson 34 – SMU 31 (margin error 5.8, total error 9.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.