2024 Week 10 · Nov 3, 2024, 12:00 AM · Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Pittsburgh @ SMU

Predicted scoreLikely

Pittsburgh

20.0

SMU

29.9

SMU win probability: 74%

Margin (SMU − Pittsburgh): 9.9 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Pittsburgh 25 – SMU 48 (margin error 13.1, total error 23.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.