Predicted scoreLean
TCU
32.0
SMU
23.9
SMU win probability: 31%
Margin (SMU − TCU): -8.1 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 55.9 (80% range 32 to 81)
Actual: TCU 42 – SMU 66 (margin error 32.1, total error 52.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.