2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Boston College @ SMU

Predicted scoreLikely

Boston College

20.0

SMU

33.3

SMU win probability: 79%

Margin (SMU − Boston College): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 34)

Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Boston College 28 – SMU 38 (margin error 3.3, total error 12.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.