Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
24.8
SMU
25.5
SMU win probability: 52%
Margin (SMU − BYU): 0.7 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: BYU 18 – SMU 15 (margin error 3.7, total error 17.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.