Predicted scoreConfident
Stanford
18.1
SMU
34.5
SMU win probability: 85%
Margin (SMU − Stanford): 16.4 (80% range -3 to 37)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Stanford 10 – SMU 34 (margin error 7.6, total error 8.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.