2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 4:00 PM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

SMU @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreLean

SMU

29.3

Wake Forest

25.3

Wake Forest win probability: 40%

Margin (Wake Forest − SMU): -4.0 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: SMU 12 – Wake Forest 13 (margin error 5.0, total error 29.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.