Predicted scoreLikely
Syracuse
23.3
SMU
35.1
SMU win probability: 76%
Margin (SMU − Syracuse): 11.9 (80% range -9 to 33)
Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Syracuse 18 – SMU 31 (margin error 1.1, total error 9.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.