2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

SMU @ Clemson

Predicted scoreToss-up

SMU

26.7

Clemson

27.7

Clemson win probability: 52%

Margin (Clemson − SMU): 1.0 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: SMU 35 – Clemson 24 (margin error 12.0, total error 4.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.