2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 5:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

SMU @ Boston College

Predicted scoreLikely

SMU

33.2

Boston College

22.0

Boston College win probability: 24%

Margin (Boston College − SMU): -11.2 (80% range -32 to 10)

Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: SMU 45 – Boston College 13 (margin error 20.8, total error 2.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.