Predicted scoreToss-up
Baylor
28.1
SMU
32.2
SMU win probability: 60%
Margin (SMU − Baylor): 4.1 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 60.2 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Baylor 48 – SMU 45 (margin error 7.1, total error 32.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.54% |
| 31 | 38 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.