2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 12:00 AM · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Virginia Tech @ SMU
Predicted scoreLikely
Virginia Tech
20.7
SMU
36.0
SMU win probability: 82%
Margin (SMU − Virginia Tech): 15.2 (80% range -6 to 36)
Total: 56.7 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:21 PM | 15.2 | 56.7 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:12 PM | 15.2 | 56.7 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:46 PM | 15.2 | 56.7 | 82% |