Predicted scoreLikely
SMU
31.3
Stanford
20.0
Stanford win probability: 24%
Margin (Stanford − SMU): -11.3 (80% range -32 to 8)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:09 PM | -11.3 | 51.4 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:02 PM | -11.3 | 51.4 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:12 PM | -11.3 | 51.3 | 24% |