Predicted scoreLikely
SMU
34.0
Stanford
19.5
Stanford win probability: 18%
Margin (Stanford − SMU): -14.5 (80% range -35 to 6)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:09 PM | -11.3 | 51.4 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:02 PM | -11.3 | 51.4 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:12 PM | -11.3 | 51.3 | 24% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:17 AM | -11.3 | 51.3 | 24% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:14 PM | -11.4 | 51.3 | 23% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:03 PM | -11.1 | 51.6 | 24% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:44 PM | -11.9 | 53.0 | 23% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:04 PM | -13.4 | 53.8 | 20% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:51 PM | -13.4 | 53.8 | 20% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:19 PM | -13.1 | 53.7 | 20% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:34 PM | -13.1 | 53.7 | 20% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:50 PM | -11.1 | 54.3 | 25% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:35 PM | -13.3 | 54.6 | 21% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:48 PM | -13.0 | 54.0 | 21% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:51 PM | -14.5 | 53.5 | 18% |