Predicted scoreLikely
SMU
33.4
Syracuse
21.6
Syracuse win probability: 23%
Margin (Syracuse − SMU): -11.8 (80% range -32 to 8)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.58% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:06 PM | -11.8 | 55.0 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:01 PM | -11.8 | 55.0 | 23% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:24 PM | -11.8 | 55.0 | 23% |