2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Wake Forest @ SMU
Predicted scoreLikely
Wake Forest
20.0
SMU
31.8
SMU win probability: 78%
Margin (SMU − Wake Forest): 11.9 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:35 PM | 11.9 | 51.8 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:33 PM | 11.9 | 51.8 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:55 PM | 11.9 | 51.8 | 78% |